Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 0.159816 0.180104 0.201405 0.225384 0.251570 0.279245 0.310651
2025-03-09 0.131468 0.158641 0.188674 0.224146 0.264707 0.309449 0.362335
2025-03-16 0.110377 0.141562 0.177620 0.222004 0.274752 0.335016 0.408632
2025-03-23 0.097479 0.131992 0.173515 0.226474 0.291499 0.367987 0.463963
2025-03-30 0.084934 0.121153 0.166401 0.226053 0.301510 0.392633 0.509732
2025-04-06 0.074611 0.111825 0.159990 0.225456 0.310543 0.415743 0.553816
2025-04-13 0.065940 0.103635 0.154089 0.224652 0.318680 0.437449 0.596319
2025-04-20 0.059746 0.098121 0.151093 0.227112 0.330687 0.464005 0.645315
2025-04-27 0.055600 0.095045 0.151028 0.233233 0.347448 0.496895 0.703070
2025-05-04 0.050527 0.090038 0.147740 0.234463 0.357343 0.520774 0.749444
2025-05-11 0.047074 0.087131 0.147163 0.239286 0.372104 0.551298 0.805123
2025-05-18 0.044369 0.085113 0.147666 0.245520 0.388857 0.584771 0.865368
2025-05-25 0.039705 0.079566 0.142582 0.243452 0.394011 0.602960 0.906119
2025-06-01 0.036073 0.075374 0.139248 0.243714 0.402379 0.625680 0.953502
2025-06-08 0.032489 0.070875 0.135053 0.242319 0.408091 0.644655 0.995995
2025-06-15 0.030566 0.069154 0.135215 0.247627 0.423847 0.678172 1.059451
2025-06-22 0.027838 0.065637 0.132098 0.247469 0.431190 0.699640 1.106226
2025-06-29 0.025331 0.062262 0.128943 0.246995 0.437892 0.720187 1.151972
2025-07-06 0.023027 0.059021 0.125758 0.246226 0.443974 0.739825 1.196669
2025-07-13 0.021442 0.057073 0.124715 0.248925 0.455510 0.767722 1.253811
2025-07-20 0.020520 0.056422 0.125968 0.255538 0.473425 0.805512 1.326093
2025-07-27 0.018984 0.054262 0.124250 0.256878 0.482787 0.830486 1.379856
2025-08-03 0.018039 0.053316 0.124747 0.262073 0.498527 0.865449 1.449020